Closing Bell: Nifty ends below 11,300, Sensex up 50 pts; Yes Bank gains 9%, auto stocks jump.

The benchmark indices ended on positive note on July 26 breaking six consecutive day fall with Nifty finished near 11,300.

At close, the Sensex was up 51.81 points at 37,882.79, while Nifty was up 32.10 points at 11,284.30. About 1296 shares have advanced, 1173 shares declined, and 161 shares are unchanged. 

Yes Bank, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, Eicher Motors and Hero Motocorp were among major gainers on the Nifty, while losers were Vedanta, IOC, HDFC, Tech Mahindra and Reliance Industries.

Among sectors, except energy and IT, all other indices are ended on the higher side led by auto (up 2 percent), PSU bank (up 1.1 percent), pharma (up 1 percent) followed by FMCG, infra and metal. BSE midcap and smallcap indices ended with marginal gains.

HEADLINES OF THE DAY

Jubilant Life Q1 result: Consolidated net profit down 8.6% at Rs 185 crore versus Rs 202.5 crore, revenue was up 5% at Rs 2,182 crore versus Rs 2,079 crore, YoY.

Force Motors Q1: Net profit down 36.2% at Rs 26.15 crore against Rs 41 crore, revenue down 9.7% at Rs 802.48 crore against Rs 889.15 crore, YoY.

Shriram Transport buys back NCDs: Shriram Transport has bought back secured redeemable non-convertible debentures worth Rs 210.7 crore issued by the company on private placement basis.

The crucial resistance for Nifty spot is now seen at 11100 and above this 10960 Support for the immediate term is now placed at 11400 next support will be 11660.

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HDFC Bank could report more than 20% growth in Q1 profit, NII

HDFC Bank, which has the highest weightage in the Nifty50, is expected to report more than 20 percent growth in profit, net interest income (NII) and pre-provision operating profit on July 20.

Loan growth could also be healthy, driven by corporate advances who may provide strong support after the NBFC slowdown. However, there may be a slight slow-down of growth on the retail book.

HDFC Bank fell 1.16 percent ahead of June quarter earnings, but in last nine months, it gained 21 percent, giving major support to benchmark indices.

"NII is expected to grow by 25 percent YoY driven by stable NIM and healthy loan book growth. The NIM is expected to be stable even with rising cost of fund on account of increase in unsecured high yielding portfolio," said Narnolia which expects profit growth at 24 percent and pre-provision operating profit at 25 percent YoY for the quarter.

The brokerage expects income growth from fees to remain moderate, given that it is impacted by regulatory changes in mutual fund distribution fee income.

However, the bank's management had earlier said it expects the growth of 15-16 percent in fee income at some point of time going ahead.

According to ICICI Direct, profit growth is likely to be around 23.4 percent, NII at 22.4 percent and pre-provision operating profit 25.8 percent in Q1 compared to year-ago.

"Advances run rate is expected to slow down at around 17 percent YoY. The retail segment, which has been the growth engine in recent quarters, is seen remaining behind led by a cautious approach in unsecured lending products and a slowdown in auto sales. Corporate segment growth may remain healthy as the bank continues to remain a beneficiary of NBFC slowdown, as seen last quarter," ICICI Direct said, adding that asset quality is expected to remain steady.

Motital Oswal also said asset quality is expected to remain stable, with gross non-performing assets at around 1.3 percent for Q1 FY20.

Key issues to watch for would be the outlook on SME and retail book as management indicated some stress in same, and trends in digital banking/payments and various initiatives.

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Closing Bell: Nifty gains for 3rd day but fails to hold 11,700; Midcap index underperforms.

Benchmark indices continued to gain for third consecutive session with the Nifty reclaiming 11,700 level intraday, driven by banks, FMCG and IT stocks.

The BSE Sensex was up 84.60 points at 39,215.64 and the Nifty50 rose 24.90 points to 11,687.50 while Nifty Bank gained 165 points.

But the market breadth was in favour of bears as about 1,350 shares declined against 1,099 advancing shares on the BSE.

HEADLINES OF THE DAY

ICICI Lombard General Insurance said Vishal Mahadevia resigned as Non-executive, Independent Director of the company.

Housing finance firm Home First Finance Company (HFFC) is mulling worth Rs 1,500-crore initial public offer, reports suggest.

Kotak Mahindra, Indiabulls Housing, HCL Technologies were the biggest gainers, while Yes Bank, ONGC and Eicher Motors were the top losers.

Yes Bank fell nearly 9 percent from day's high of Rs 108.40 intraday on caution ahead of June quarter earnings due later today.

The crucial resistance for Nifty spot is now seen at 11800 and above this 11960 Support for the immediate term is now placed at 11500 next support will be 11360.

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Wipro buyback likely to increase EPS, investors may tender their shares

Wipro has approved buyback of 32,30,76,923 fully paid-up equity shares of face value Rs 2 each, representing up to 5.35 percent of the total number of equity shares. The buyback is fixed at a price of Rs 325 per equity share for an aggregate amount of up to Rs 10,500 crores via tender offer.

The record date for the said purpose is set to be June 21, which translates June 19 for participation in buyback. Wipro is buying back its shares at a premium of 10 percent to the current price of Rs 296.

Buyback Strategy

Wipro has always been providing rewards to its shareholders. With this buyback being fancy and retail participation hiking up further, we have estimated that the eligibility ratio would be 60-65 percent. Taking into consideration the least number of retailers that would not participate, the real acceptance ratio has been assumed higher only by 15-20 percent. So, the estimated acceptance ratio could be around 70-75 percent.

CASE A

Hedging through future not advisable

As per calculations, the estimated acceptance ratio is around 70-75 percent at the most. The retail holding (individuals holding up to Rs 2 lakh equity share capital) in Wipro is only 1.89 percent (as in March). The buyback amount being high, there is no doubt that many more investors are expected to participate in this buyback. Moreover, the low base of retail holding provides cushion for higher eligibility ratio.

We have estimated 640 as the maximum shares that can be bought at CMP at Rs 296, keeping the limit of Rs 2 lakh (as stated by SEBI). This represents the total value of around Rs 1,89,440 as the margin set aside or any price rise before record date.

The acceptance ratio being high, the remaining 25 percent shares would be hedged through future, which translates in to 160 shares (640*25 percent) that needs to be tendered in 20 accounts to match the future lot size of 3,200 shares. To have 20 different accounts for a retail investor is quite not possible. Thus, hedging is not advised in Wipro Buyback.

CASE B

Gain through tender offer - direct market purchase

Investors looking for a short-term gain can buy 640 shares at CMP at Rs 296 in the open market and give them in the tender offer. Also, one has to monitor that shareholders’ holding value should be less than the amount of Rs 2 lakh on the record date to qualify for this buyback.

As per SEBI regulations, 15 percent of the offer size will be reserved for retail shareholders (holding amount less than Rs 2 lakh). Therefore, Rs 1,575 crore (15 percent of 10,500 crore) is set for retail Investors.

Expected returns and conclusion

Though the company’s Q4FY19 performance missed estimates, the guidance growth stated by the management is not very lucrative. However, this being the third buyback for Wipro, we believe it would help increase the EPS and support the company’s share price.

The estimated acceptance ratio as per calculations is also reasonable at 70-75 percent, which makes the buyback attractive. Thus, investors may tender their shares (case B stated above) to enjoy return up to 13 percent (within two months) through this buyback opportunity, and the remaining quantity (not been accepted in buyback) may be sold in the open market.

Bloodbath on D-Street as Sensex plunges over 700 pts; Nifty gives up 10,500.

capitalstars Financial Research Pvt. Ltd.

Bears took complete control on D-Street, as benchmark indices shed nearly 2 percent. Weak global cues, reactions to exit polls as well as weak macro data weighed big on Sensex and the Nifty.
The 50-share index ended the session below 10,500.
Selling was visible across all sectors, with maximum pain seen among banks, automobiles, energy, consumption and pharmaceuticals, among others.

At the close of market hours, the Sensex was down 713.53 points or 2.00% at 34959.72, and the Nifty down 205.20 points or 1.92% at 10488.50. The market breadth was negative as 647 shares advanced, against a decline of 1870 shares, while 134 shares were unchanged.
Coal India, Maruti Suzuki, IOC and BPCL were the top gainers, while Kotak Mahindra Bank, Reliance Industries, and Indiabulls Housing lost the most.

HEADLINES OF THE DAY

HCL Technologies announced a new five-year contract with multinational life insurance, pensions and asset management company Aegon.
CONCOR to consider bonus issue: A meeting of the board of directors of the company is scheduled to be held on December 20 to consider issue of bonus shares to the shareholders of the company which, if approved, will be subject to applicable regulatory provisions and the approvals of shareholders and others as may be required for the same.

Lupin received Establishment Inspection Report (EIR) for its Pithampur (Unit 3) facility. The inspection at the site was conducted between June 12, 2017 and June 16,2017.

Kotak Mahindra Bank shares plunged more than 6 percent intraday Monday after the lender filed writ petition before Bombay High Court to validate its position w.r.t perpetual non-convertible preference shares (PNCPS).

The crucial resistance for Nifty spot is now seen at 10340 and above this 10200 Support for the immediate term is now placed at 10590 next support will be 10680.

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Sensex ends 361 points higher ahead of exit polls, Nifty just short of 10,700; Kotak Bank up 9%.

Capitalstars Financial Research Pvt. Ltd.

Equity benchmarks ended the session on a positive note, with the Nifty ending well above 10,650-mark.
Investors awaited cues from exit polls of elections in five states.
Financials led the surge, backed by a huge jump in Kotak Mahindra Bank.

Meanwhile, automobiles and consumption names were the big gainers, while the Nifty Midcap ended flat.
At the close of market hours, the Sensex was up 361.12 points or 1.02% at 35673.25, while the Nifty was higher by 92.50 points or 0.87% at 10693.70. The market breadth was negative as 1077 shares advanced, against a decline of 1458 shares, while 155 shares were unchanged.
Kotak Mahindra Bank, Adani Ports, and Bajaj Finserv were the top gainers, while Sun Pharma, Coal India, HCL Tech and GAIL lost the most.

HEADLINES OF THE DAY

ICRA has revised Jet Airways’ long term loans and NCD rating to ‘C’ from ‘B’, while the outlook is negative.
Shares of Dilip Buildcon rose 4.4 percent as company bagged order worth Rs 1,000 crore from Mahanadi Coalfield.
Kotak Mahindra Bank, in an exchange filing, has said that it is unaware of any plans by Berkshire Hathaway to buy a stake in the bank. The lender has issued a clarification based on a story by CNBC-TV18 that Warren Buffet company was looking to buy 10 percent stake.

Russia wants to cut oil output by max 150,000 bpd for first three months of 2019, according to Reuters reports.
Sebi imposed a fine of Rs 5 lakh on Bampsl Securities for violating disclosure norms regarding the change in shareholding of Kay Power Paper. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) conducted a probe regarding the trading in the scrip of Kay Power from June to August, 2014.
Techno Electric has bagged orders worth Rs 313 crore.
GAIL India shares fell 4.5 percent in morning after global research house feels upcoming quarterly results for the company may be quite weak.

The crucial resistance for Nifty spot is now seen at 10800 and above this 10960 Support for the immediate term is now placed at 10510 next support will be 10420.

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Market Wrap Up

capitalstars Financial research pvt. ltd.

A stronger rupee, falling crude oil prices along with a dovish commentary from the US central bank chief boosted markets across the globe, including India. Back home, the Nifty surged past 10,800 on a day when F&O contracts for November series expire.
The Sensex, meanwhile, hit 36,000 during the day’s trade, rising over 530 points.
Both indices ended the session on a strong note, with the Nifty retaining XX mark on expiry.

At the close of market hours, the Sensex closed up 453.46 points or 1.27% at 36170.41, and the Nifty up 129.80 points or 1.21% at 10858.70. The market breadth was narrow as 1300 shares advanced, against a decline of 1292 shares, while 145 shares were unchanged.
Bajaj Auto, Kotak Mahindra Bank, and Bajaj Finance were the top gainers, while Power Grid, NTPC, and HCL Tech lost the most.

HEADLINES OF THE DAY

Deep Industries bags contract: Shares rallied nearly 11 percent intraday Thursday after the company bagged contract from country's largest oil & gas exploration company ONGC.
Shares of Neuland Laboratories surged 13 percent after USFDA issued no observation to its manufacturing facility.

TCS and Phoenix Group expand partnership: Tata Consultancy Services announced an expansion of its ongoing 12-year old partnership with the Phoenix Group, Europe's largest life and pensions consolidator.
Shares of Piramal Enterprises gained 4 percent intraday Thursday after company approved issue of NCDs worth Rs 500 crore.

The crucial resistance for Nifty spot is now seen at 10920 and above this 11200 Support for the immediate term is now placed at 10700 next support will be 10590.

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Sensex, Nifty trade with marginal gains;

Capitalstars Financial Research Pvt. Ltd.

Indian Indices: 
                                          The market has given up half of its gains and is trading off the high points. The Sensex is higher by around 150 points, while the Nifty is around 10,350.

Selling is visible in the information technology segment, with the Nifty IT index falling around a percent. Banks, automobiles, consumption and pharma have lost some of their sheen at this point. The midcap index, meanwhile, has given up almost all of its gains.

The Sensex is up 179.94 points or 0.52% at 34495.57, while the Nifty is higher by 50.20 points or 0.49% at 10353.70. The market breadth is positive as 855 shares advanced, against a decline of 423 shares, while 2281 shares were unchanged.

Global Market:

• Asian markets: MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased 0.25 percent. Japan’s Nikkei slipped 1.0 percent and South Korea stocks lost 0.7 percent.

• US Markets: The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 64.89 points, or 0.26 percent, to 25,444.34, the S&P 500 lost 1 point, or 0.04 percent, to 2,767.78 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 36.11 points, or 0.48 percent, to 7,449.03.

• European markets: European markets finished mixed as of the most recent closing prices. The FTSE 100 gained 0.32%, while the CAC 40 led the DAX lower. They fell 0.63% and 0.31% respectively.

Major Headlines of the day:

•    NBFC liquidity squeeze hits loans against property market.
•    Rupee recovers early losses; gains 9 paise.

Trend in FII flows:-  The FIIs were Net Value of Rs -618.26 CR. cash segment while the DIIs were Net Value of  -2.14 CR. per the provisional figures.

Securities in Ban For Trade Date 22-OCT-2018
ADANIPOWER
DHFL
JETAIRWAYS

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Sensex slips 100 points, Nifty around 10,300; Yes Bank, HDFC top gainers

Capitalstars Financial Research Pvt. ltd.

Indian Indices:                         
                                         Benchmark indices are trading flat in the late morning trade with Sensex hovering around 34,500 level. At 11:46 hrs IST, the Sensex is up 6.91 points at 34481.29, while Nifty is down 9.30 points at 10338.70. About 923 shares have advanced, 1291 shares declined, and 1126 shares are unchanged.

HDFC Bank, Reliance Industries, HDFC, TCS and Kotak Mahindra Bank are the positive contributors to the Sensex.

Global Market:

Asian markets: Asian markets are higher today as Japanese and Hong Kong shares show gains. The Nikkei 225 is up 0.92% while the Hang Seng is up 0.23%. The Shanghai Composite is not trading.

US Markets: Dow rises for first time in 3 days, but gains capped amid fear of higher rates.

European markets: European markets finished sharply lower today with shares in Germany leading the region. The DAX is down 1.36% while London's FTSE 100 is off 1.16% and France's CAC 40 is lower by 1.10%.

Major Headlines of the day:

•        Asia stocks at 17-month low amid China concerns
•        IMF downgrades outlook for world economy to 3.7% growth

Trend in FII flows:-  The FIIs were Net Value of Rs  -1805.07 segment while the DIIs were Net Value of  1973.97 per the provisional figures.

Securities in Ban For Trade Date 09-OCTOBER-2018
1.Idbi

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Volatile trade continues on D-Street; Sensex up 150 points, Nifty struggles around 11,000

Capitalstars Financial Research Pvt. Ltd.

Indian Indices:
                                        There’s a sharp recovery seen on D-Street. The Sensex is trading higher by over 100 points, while the Nifty is looking to clinch 11,000-mark.

The Sensex is up 103.67 points or 0.29% at 36408.69, while the Nifty is higher by 26.60 points or 0.24% at 10994.00. The market breadth is negative as 873 shares advanced, against a decline of 1,196 shares, while 118 shares were unchanged.

Buying counters are now buzzing in the financials space, with the Bank Nifty trading over one-third of a percent higher. Automobiles, pharmaceuticals and IT sectors are trading higher as well.  In the broader markets, midcaps are trading higher by one-fifth of a percent. Here is a look at the heatmap chart on Sensex.

Global Market:

•    Asian markets: Japanese shares are higher today as the Nikkei 225 gains 0.17%. The stock markets in Hong Kong and Shanghai are closed at this time.

•    US Markets: Stocks pressured as US-China trade fight revives growth fears; oil elevated.

•    European markets: European markets finished lower today with shares in Germany leading the region. The DAX is down 0.64% while London's FTSE 100 is off 0.42% and France's CAC 40 is lower by 0.33%.

Major Headlines of the day:

•       Aavas Financiers IPO to open on September 25
•       Asian stocks pressured as US-China trade fight revives growth fears; oil elevated.

Trend in FII flows:-  The FIIs were Net Value of Rs -523.94 cash segment while the DIIs were Net Value of  1527.67 per the provisional figures.

Securities in Ban For Trade Date 25-SEPTEMBER-2018
1.Adanient
2.Adanipower

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Sensex deepens losses, Nifty trades around 11,350; metals take a hit

Capitalstas Financial Research

Indian Indices:
                                          Some selling pressure is visible on the market, as benchmarks have extended their losses. The Nifty has given up 11,350 as well, while the Sensex is down almost 100 points.

Among sectors, banks, automobiles, IT, and metal names are taking a hit, while pharmaceuticals are trading higher. The midcap index is down over half a percent as well.

The Sensex is currently down 89.78 points or 0.24% at 37495.73, while the Nifty is lower by 32.00 points or 0.28% at 11345.80. The market breadth is negative as 896 shares advanced, against a decline of 1,226 shares, while 155 shares were unchanged.

HUL and Yes Bank are the top gainers, while Vedanta, State Bank of India, and Hindalco have lost the most. 

Global Market:

•    Asian markets: Asian markets are lower today as Japanese and Hong Kong shares fall. The Nikkei 225 is off 1.07% while the Hang Seng is down 0.63%. The Shanghai Composite is not trading.

•    US Markets: Dow set to open 100 points lower following new US tariffs on China.

•    European markets: European markets finished lower today with shares in Germany leading the region. The DAX is down 0.23% while France's CAC 40 is off 0.07% and London's FTSE 100 is lower by 0.03%.

Major Headlines of the day:

•      Sebi board to discuss fiduciaries framework, settlement mechanism on September 18
•      Nifty likely to open flat.

Trend in FII flows:-  The FIIs were Net Value of Rs -106.54 cash segment while the DIIs were Net Value of  -180.36 per the provisional figures.

Securities in Ban For Trade Date 18-SEPTEMBER-2018
1.Adanient

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Nifty may move towards 11,650-11,700 in August expiry week; Nifty's journey from 1,000 to 11,500 levels

Capitalstars Financial research pvt. ltd.

The market undertone remained bullish in recent weeks with the support of consistent short covering and long buildup. The Nifty is trading near all-time highs, supported by heavyweight sectors like banks, IT and pharma.

Sector rotation is likely to continue. At the current stage derivative data indicates a bullish scenario, which would continue with Nifty having multiple strong support at lower levels of 11,500 and 11,400.

We may see short covering on every dip as option writers were active in the recent rally. We have seen put writing in 11,500, 11,400 puts along with call unwinding in 11,500 calls.

 As Nifty50 hit a lifetime high of 11,581.75 on Tuesday, it is notable to know that the index hovered around 1,000 levels in back in 2002.

Over these 16 years, the representation in Nifty50 index has undergone a sea change in consonance with the changes in the underlying economy. As new sectors and companies evolved, their stocks found place in the benchmark index. Some, on the other hand, lost relative importance.

On the technical front, 11,520-11,530 spot levels are strong support zone for Nifty while the current trend is likely to continue towards 11,650-11,700 levels in the expiry week.

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Nifty holds 11,400 amid flat trade; pharma, IT, auto stocks rally

Capitalstars Financial Research pvt. Ltd.

Indian Indices:
                                        The Sensex is down 28.96 points or 0.08% at 37823.04, and the Nifty down 6.70 points or 0.06% at 11428.40. The market breadth is positive as 1,124 shares advanced, against a decline of 975 shares, while 110 shares are unchanged.

IT and pharma stocks have further extended their gains, while index heavyweights such as Infosys and Bajaj Finance are helping the market steady around current levels. Among stocks, Sun Pharma, Axis Bank, GAIL and Bajaj Finance are the top gainers, while Vedanta and Kotak Mahindra Bank are the top losers.

Global Market:

• Asian markets: Asian markets are lower today as Japanese and Hong Kong shares fall. The Nikkei 225 is off 0.13% while the  Hang Seng is down 0.74%. The Shanghai Composite is not trading.

• US Markets: U.S. stocks close lower as Turkey, trade worries continue to weigh.

• European markets: European markets finished sharply lower today with shares in France leading the region. The CAC 40 is down 1.82% while Germany's DAX is off 1.58% and London's FTSE 100 is lower by 1.49%.

Major Headlines of the day:

• Asian shares hit one-year low on Turkey, China worries
• Rupee opens at fresh record low of 70.19 a dollar amid Turkey crisis

Trend in FII flows:-  The FIIs were Net Value of Rs -378.84 cash segment while the DIIs were Net Value of  391.47 per the provisional figures.

Securities in Ban For Trade Date 16-AUGUST-2018

1.Adanipower
2.Adanient
3.PNB
4.Jetairways

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Nifty is below 10,930, threat of significant correction looms

Capitalstars investment advisor

The Nifty50 on weekly basis close in positive with gains of about 0.5 percent. It managed to close around its crucial levels of 10,800.Surprisingly, this is the 4th positive weekly close in a row. But, the price behaviour throughout these 4 weeks remained sluggish with long lower shadows suggesting dips were considered as a buying opportunity.

However, in the current week, the price remained extremely narrower with a weekly range of 138 points indicating time may be ripe for a breakout in either direction.

Supports have certainly not shifted higher though we are seeing some price appreciation. Chart pattern continues to remain bearish as long as Nifty50 trades below 10,930 levels thereby leaving a room for downswing which if materialises has the potentiality to drag down the index below 10417 level where a corrective structure will get culminated.

Hence, to turn completely bullish, we insist for a breakout above 10,930. On such a breakout a sustainable rally can be expected with new highs.Unlike Nifty50, charts of Bank Nifty looks bullish to us as it is moving in an ascending channel for the last 3 months or so. On last Friday, it just tested the demand line of the said channel.

As long as this index remains inside, the said channel things shall remain positive for this index with initial targets of 27,000. Our positive outlook will turn negative on a close below 26,150 levels.

The possibility of high networth individuals (HNIs) in India selling their equity holding and investing in real estate is a key risk for the Indian markets, writes Christopher Wood, managing director, equity strategist at CLSA in his weekly note GREED & fear. He advises investors consider investing in real estate as an asset class.

Pharma along with IT was our top contrarian bets for the year 2018 as published in this column on 30th of December 2017 under the title Contrarian investor will make money in 2018.

Obviously, on charts, this index is looking more promising as the recent low of 7,900 has retraced 62 percent of its entire rally from 2009 lows of 1,968 – 14,020 with a multi-year down move inside the downward sloping channel.

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