INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-11 MAY 2016

Sgx Nifty

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Bearish opening on Dalal Street
The key Indian equity benchmarks are poised to witness a negative opening on Wednesday as the government late Tuesday announced that starting next year, a capital gains tax on investments coming from Mauritius will be imposed as it seeks to curb black money. SGX Nifty is trading 124 points lower.

Focus will be on Kotak Mahindra Bank, Havells India, Apollo Tyres and Asian Paints as they unveil their March quarter earnings today. Caution ahead of key macro data to be released on Thursday including March industrial output and April consumer inflation 

Indian shares bounced back from earlier losses to close higher on Tuesday, posting their second consecutive session of gains, as a rebound in crude oil prices and global stocks continued to favour riskier assets. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.33%-0.28% higher each.

Global Markets:

Asian stocks pulled away from eight-week lows on Wednesday, a day after solid corporate earnings sparked a rally in global equities while the yen struggled amid intervention warnings from Tokyo in the wake of the currency's rapid rise. 

A surge in US stocks overnight after a rise in US job openings to the second highest level on record in March signaled a strengthening labour market recovery in the world’s biggest economy. 

European shares rose on Tuesday, lifted by news of progress on Greek debt talks, with Danish jeweller Pandora surging after strong results and Credit Suisse gaining after a smaller-than-expected loss.

Major Headlines of the day:

Tata Steel gets SEZ status for Gopalpur project. 
EID Parry Q4 net up 59% at Rs267 cr. 
JSW enters race for Tata Steel's UK business.

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -328.59 Cr in the cash segment on Tuesday  while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 68.20 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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CS ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY-10 MAY 2016


Nifty Options Tips

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:
CEAT LTD  FUTURE SELL CALL 3 TG
MCDOWELL-N  FUTURE  BUY  CALL1 TG 
HDFC FUTURE BUY CALL 1 TG & HOLD FUTHER
L&T FUTURE BUY CALL COST EXIT  

NIFTY FUTURES:
NIFTY FUTURE BUY CALL 3 TG 

OPTION:
CEATLTD 1020 PUT CALL BUY CALL 2 T G 
L&T 1300 CALL BUY CALL 2 T G

STOCK CASH

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:
HOVS BUY CALL 3 TG 
UJJIVAN  BUY CALL 3 TG (BOOKED AT 244.65)
TIRUMALCHM BUY  CALL 2 TG
CENTURYPL SELL  CALL 1TG
KSCL BUY  CALL 1TG & HOLD FOR TOMORROW 

STOCK CASH  PREMIUM:
UJJIVAN  BUY CALL 2 TG (BOOKED AT 244.65)

STOCK SUPER PREMIUM 
BAJAJHLDNG BUY CALL HOLD FOR TOMORROW 

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-10 MAY 2016


Stock Market Trading Tips

INDIAN BENCHMARKS: EUROPEAN MARKETS LIFT SENSEX BY 84 POINTS, NIFTY ABOVE 7850 

After Monday's raging Bull Run, Tuesday would have ended in utter disappointment but a late surge gave the benchmark Sensex an 83-point lift. 
Domestic equity indices opened in the red and traded flat with a negative bias for most of the day before turning positive at around 1 pm on strong cues from a strong opening in the European markets. A fresh bounce in crude oil prices also helped investor sentiment.

The Sensex ended at 25,772.53, up 83.67 points or 0.33 per cent, while NSE's Nifty50 closed at 7,887.80, up 21.75 points or 0.28 per cent. 

Dr Reddy's Labs (up 3.04 per cent), Axis Bank (up 2.22 per cent), HUL (up 1.93 per cent), L&T (up 1.87 per cent) and GAIL (up 1.26 per cent) were the top Sensex gainers while Tata Motors (down 3.58 per cent), NTPC (down 1.75 per cent), ONGC (down 1.65 per cent), Adani Ports (down 0.99 per cent) and Asian Paints -0.83 % (down 0.83 per cent) were among the biggest losers. 

UPCOMING RESULTS TOMORROW: APOLLOTYRE, HAVELLS, ASIAN PAINTS, KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK, ORIENT BANK, SOUTH IND BANK, OFSS, VAKRANGEE, COSMOFILMS

HEADLINES OF THE DAY
Tata Motors drops on below than estimate JLR Sales
Kaveri Seed Q4 consolidated net loss at Rs7 cr (YoY)
JSW Steel among 7 bidders short-listed for Tata Steel UK asset

The crucial resistance for Nifty SPOT is now seen at 7925 and above this 7992. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7777 and next support will be 7697.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-10 MAY 2016


Stock Futures Tips

Kaveri Seed Q4 consolidated net loss at Rs7 cr (YoY)
Kaveri Seed Company has announced the following Q4 & FY16 results for the quarter & year ended March 31, 2016:
Standalone
For the Quarter ended March 31, 2016 (Unaudited)
The Company has posted a net loss of Rs9.76 crore Vs net profit of Rs2.30 crore (YoY).
Total Income increased to Rs36.31 crore Vs Rs34.12 crore (YoY).

Crompton Greaves signs share purchase agreement with First Reserve
Crompton Greaves has signed a share purchase agreement with First Reserve to sell its international Transmission & Distribution business.
The transaction is expected to be complete by 31st October 2016, subject to shareholders and regulatory approvals. Earlier in March Company had announced that it has  accepted the offer.

JSW Steel among 7 bidders short-listed for Tata Steel UK asset
JSW Steel fell over 2%, touching to Rs1292, on reports that the company is among seven bidders shortlisted for Tata Steel's UK assets.
Tata Steel has announced that it has accepted seven expressions of interest for the sale of its UK business. Tata Steel Europe has not disclosed details of bidders. On April 11, 2016, Tata Steel Europe announced that the company has commenced the formal process for the divestment of its entire holding in its British subsidiary Tata Steel UK. Tata Steel Europe has decided to sell its entire holding in Tata Steel UK due to the deteriorating financial performance of the UK subsidiary.

Arvind to raise fund via NCDs
Textiles to retail conglomerate Arvind said that it is planning to raise up to Rs500 crore through issuance of non-convertible debentures on a private placement basis.
The Board will consider the matter regarding fund raising options available to the Company by way of issue of non-convertible debentures up to Rs500 crore on a private placement basis subject to approval of shareholders.

Tata Motors drops on below than estimate JLR Sales
Shares of auto major Tata Motors dropped 4% to Rs389 on NSE as its Jaguar Land Rover Retail Sales grew 11% YoY in April 2016 which were below estimates. Negative for Tata Motors.
Jaguar Land Rover, reported April 2016 retail sales of 41,341 vehicles, up 11% YoY. The sales were below estimates (we had estimated growth of 17-18% on yoy basis). The company sold 200,154 vehicles in the first four months of 2016, which is up 24% YoY.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-10 MAY 2016

Sgx Nifty

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Markets may open lower amid mixed Asia trend
The key domestic benchmarks are likely to witness a gap down opening on Tuesday as investors resort to profit booking after a stellar rally in the previous session while a mixed trend in stock markets across Asia amid weakness in commodity prices may also sour the appetite for risky assets. SGX Nifty is trading 33.50 points lower.

The focus today will be on the stock of Punjab & Sind Bank as the public sector lender unveils its March quarter earnings numbers, with investors keenly eying the Gross and Net NPA levels.

Caution ahead of key macro data to be released on Thursday including March industrial output and April consumer inflation may also weigh on sentiment.

Indian shares rose by 2%, posting their biggest single-day percentage gain in nearly four weeks, as a recent string of positive corporate results raised tentative hopes about an improving domestic economy. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 1.82%-1.71% higher each.

Global Markets:

Asian shares got off to a weak start on Tuesday, pressured by weaker crude oil prices, though Japanese shares got a tailwind as the dollar stood tall against the yen.

US stocks ended mixed on Monday as traders weighed dismal China trade data, tumbling oil prices and prospects for increases in US interest rates but sentiment was supported by a rally in health care and consumer stocks

European stock markets gained on Monday, but closed off their best levels after oil prices turned negative.

Major Headlines of the day:
Tata Steel takes seven potential bids for UK assets to next stage of sale process
Sun Pharma launches app for asthma patients
ONGC crude oil output up in FY16

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -224.40 Cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 350.60 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-09 MAY 2016


Stock Market Trading Tips


INDIAN BENCHMARKS: SENSEX RALLIED OVER 450 POINTS, NIFTY ABOVE 7850

After a tepid showing over the past two weeks when the benchmark indices declined up to 3 per cent, the equity market made a strong comeback on Monday.
The domestic equity indices blazed through key support levels, rallying on global cues.
The S&P BSE benchmark Sensex surged over 400 points, or 1.54 per cent, while the Nifty50 reclaimed its crucial support level of 7,850, gaining 1.2 per cent. 

UPCOMING RESULTS TOMORROW: ZEEL, CENTURY PLY, TRIVENI TURBINE, SKF INDIA, ALCHEM, SRF, MOREPEN LAB

HEADLINES OF THE DAY
HUL Q4 net profit up 7% (YoY); volume growth disappoints.
ITC gains on commencing Cigarette production.
Greaves Cotton Q4FY16 Results: Posts in line numbers.

The crucial resistance for Nifty SPOT is now seen at 7890 and above this 7925. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7735 and next support will be 7697.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-09 MAY 2016


Stock Futures Tips

HUL Q4 net profit up 7% (YoY); volume growth disappoints
Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL) has announced the following audited Q4 & FY16 results for the quarter & year ended March 31, 2016:
Standalone
For the Quarter ended March 31, 2016 (YoY)
The Company has posted a net profit of Rs1089.59 crore Vs Rs1018.08 crore.
Total Income increased to Rs8027.91 crore Vs Rs7774.04 crore.

Emami spurts on better than expected Q4 nos
Shares of Emami gained4% to Rs1086 on NSE as expectation of better monsoons raised hopes of improving prospects in FY2017; Buy retained (TP – Rs1250)
Sales volume improved; high GPM leads to strong operating performance: Emami registered a double-digit revenue growth of 21.2% in Q4FY2016 (driven by a volume growth of 17.6%). The Kesh King brand contributed about Rs60 crore during the quarter.

Greaves Cotton Q4FY16 Results: Posts in line numbers
Greaves Cotton posted in line numbers for Q4FY2016
The revenues for the quarter grew 3% YoY to Rs405 cr on the back of a 1% YoY growth in Engine sales
The revenues were marginally ahead of our estimates of Rs387 cr
The operating margins were up by 411 BPS YoY due to softer commodity prices, however were lower than estimates our 16.3%. Engine segment EBIT margins expanded 260 BPS YoY
Reduced interest cost resulted in a adjusted PAT growing by 45% to Rs45, coming in line with our estimates.

KEC International gains on healthy earnings growth
Shares of KEC International gained over 3% to Rs130.40 on NSE after the company posted a very healthy earnings growth of 27% YoY in Q4FY2016 backed by strong margin expansion.
KEC International reported a very healthy earnings growth (up 27% YoY) in Q4FY2016, backed by EBITDA margin expansion of 147 bps and flat interest cost.
Despite flat revenue, margin expanded from 7.3% in Q4FY2015 to 8.7% in Q4FY2016, which resulted into EBITDA growth of 21%.

ITC gains on commencing Cigarette production
Shares of ITC gained 2% to Rs323.70 on NSE as its Cigarette factories are commencing production progressively (shutdown was announced on 5th May); New packs to have 
only 15% area for branding, printing, other details – sentimentally positive for ITC.

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Sensex zooms over 300 pts, Nifty eyes 7850

Share Market Tips

The market has extended its rally with the Nifty comfortable above 7800. The 50-share is up 96.50 points or 1.2 percent at 7829.95. The Sensex is up 324.89 points or 1.3 percent at 25553.39. About 1343 shares have advanced, 498 shares declined, and 74 shares are unchanged.

NTPC, Bajaj Auto, HDFC twins and ITC are top gainers in the Sensex. Thyrocare Technologies debuted at Rs 665 per share on the NSE, 49 percent premium to its issue price at Rs 446.

The initial public offering (IPO) of Thyrocare was oversubscribed 73.55 times in a price band of Rs 420-446. The issue was open for bidding from April 27-29.

Thyrocare competes with diagnostics chains such as Dr Lal PathLabs, SRL Diagnostics, Metropolis Healthcare and Apollo Clinic.

Spot gold edged lower, but remained supported in the face of a firm dollar as investors bet a weaker US payroll report would push out the timing of any rate hike.

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