INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-14 JAN 2015

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS  are likely to open on a flat note as the global cues look mixed. SGX Nifty is trading 0.50 points higher. The government will release data on WPI for December 2014 today at 12 noon.

FURTHER, Ujjivan Financial Services raises Rs40 crore.

Novartis India to sell OTC business to GSK Consumer for Rs109 cr.

Delhi High Court bars Cipla from selling copy of Novartis respiratory drug.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 235.09 cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs. 46.06 cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-13 JAN 2015

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·IIP, CPI, Bond Yields data suggest favourable trends
Macro Wrap—IIP, CPI, Bond Yields data suggests favourable trends---positive for banking sector.IIP growth for Nov 2014 came in at 3.8% ( vs -4.2% MoM), higher than market estimates. The capital goods grew at 6.5% while decline in consumers durables was lesser compared to previous month (-14.5% Vs 35% YoY). IIP data broadly suggests that numbers seen in previous month were aberration and industrial growth is gradually reviving. Dec 2014 CPI inflation came in 5% Vs (4.38% in November 2014), again lower than market estimates which suggests the inflation concerns are largely done.

·BEML trades flat after marking 52 week high
Shares of BEML are trading flat at Rs872, after foreign institutional raised their stake in the state-owned company through open market. The stock opened at Rs880 and hit fresh 52-week high of Rs899 on NSE and day’s low at Rs867.On January 12, 2015, Merrill Lynch Capital Market Espana S.A. SVB acquired 254,836 equity shares representing 0.61% stake in the company at Rs846.73 per share on NSE, as per the bulk deal data.

·IndusInd Bank Profits In-Line with Est; Asset Quality Stable
Indusind Bank has announced the following Unaudited Standalone results for the quarter ended December 31, 2014 (YoY):Net profit of the bank rose by 28.91% to Rs447.19 crore Vs Rs346.90 crore (YoY).Total Income increased by 16.15% to Rs3047.70 crore Vs Rs2623.76 crore (YoY).

·UPL advances on hopes of buyback of share
Shares of UPL gained over 5%, touching to Rs347.5, on hopes of another share buyback which are driving gains.UPL board has approved a buyback of up to 14 million shares worth up to Rs3.08 billion in December 2013, as per reports

·Just Dial after brokerage initiates coverage
Shares of Just Dial rose over 4%, touching to Rs1539, after a foreign brokerage initiated coverage on the stock with an Outperform rating. The brokerage said that Just Dial is favourably positioned as the market leader in the local search space in India. Just Dial's 'Search' business generating steady cash inflows, while the marketplace e-commerce venture presents an attractive option value. The company's core business can deliver 30% CAGR (compound annual growth rate) over the next 5 years, the brokerage added.

·Hindalco gains as rival beats forecast
Shares of Hindalco Industries rose over 2%, hitting to Rs154.4, after US based aluminum major Alcoa Inc reported better-than-expected Q4 earnings. Lightweight metals leader Alcoa on January 12, 2015, reported a jump in fourth quarter and full-year 2014 profits, culminating a year of significant transformation for the Company.

·Maruti aims 20% growth in exports in 2014-15 at 1.2 lakh units
Maruti aims 20% growth in exports in 2014-15 at 1.2 lakh units; positive for the company. Maruti Suzuki India is eyeing 20% growth in vehicle exports this fiscal at 1.2 lakh units, riding on increased sales in non-European markets like Africa, Latin America and the Middle East. Till date, the company has exported over 92,000 units in over 100 countries, a growth of over 23% over previous year.

·Biocon surges on stake sale in Syngene
Shares of Biocon rose over 2%, touching to Rs430.5, after the company concluded sale of 10% stake in its research arm Syngene for Rs380 crore to IVF Trustee Company. Biocon had announced that private equity fund Silver Leaf Oak would acquire 10% stake in its research services arm Syngene International for Rs380 crore from Biocon Research (BRL), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Biocon.

·Asian Paints marks fresh high on fall in oil prices
Shares of Asian Paints rallied 4% to Rs838 on National Stock Exchange (NSE) as oil fell 5% to its lowest in nearly six years on Monday. The stock opened at Rs813 and touched a high of Rs842.45, also its fresh record high on NSE. Asian Paints is expected to report 12.5% volume growth, driven by Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities for the quarter ended Dec 2014. Correction in TiO2 and Crude oil prices would enable around 300bps higher gross margins year-on-year (YoY).

·JLR December 2014 global retail volumes up 1.8% YoY
Jaguar Land Rover December 2014 global retail volumes up 1.8% YoY to 41,392 units. Jaguar volumes were down 0.7% YoY to 6,963 units. Land Rover volumes for the month were up 2.3% YoY to 34,429 units. The company reported a 26% growth in UK sales while China volumes were lower by 1.2% YoY. JLR sold 462,678 units for the CY14 translating in a growth of 9%. The company targets to achieve a similar growth in CY15 and cross the half a million mark. The company also announced addition of 1,300 jobs at its Solihull facility in England to produce first Jaguar braded SUV named as F-Pace which will be launched in 2016.

·Jet Airways gains as crude prices fall
Shares of Jet Airways surged nearly 7%, touching to Rs471.25, following a slumped in crude oil prices Oil extended losses amid speculation that US crude stockpiles will increase, exacerbating a global supply glut that has driven prices to the lowest in more than 5-1/2 years. Brent for February settlement was off $1.43 a barrel to $46 a barrel. The contract had lost $2.68 a barrel to settle at $47.43 a barrel during the previous trading session. Jet fuel constitutes over 40% of an airline's operating costs. Prices of jet fuel are directly linked to crude oil prices.

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Commodity Market News-13 Jan 2015

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Silver prices jumped by Rs 453 to Rs 37,424 per kg in futures trading today as speculators indulged in creating fresh positions.

Nickel prices fell by 0.63% to Rs 940.50 per kg in futures trade today as speculators indulged in offloading positions after the metal declined in global markets.

Jeera prices spurted by another Rs 910, or 5.97% to Rs 16,140 per quintal in futures trade today as speculators indulged in creating fresh positions amidst lower output reports.

Oil continued their rout on Tuesday with Brent crude and US WTI both falling to their lowest in almost six years, as a persistent global supply glut offset data showing record high imports by key consumer China.

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Sensex consolidates, midcap outperforms; ONGC, Infosys drag

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The 30-share BSE Sensex rose 12.23 points to 27597.50 and the 50-share NSE Nifty climbed 17.25 points to 8340.25.

About 1248 shares have advanced,
700 shares declined, and 321 shares are unchanged on the BSE.

Shares of ITC, State Bank of India, Axis Bank, Cipla,
Maruti Suzuki, Sesa Sterlite, Hindalco Industries, Bajaj Auto and Sun Pharma gained 0.5-2 percent. However, Infosys and ONGC fell more than 1 percent followed by Tata Motors, Reliance Industries, L&T and HUL with marginal loss.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-13 JAN 2015

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INDIAN BENCHMARK are likely to open on a slightly positive note as the global cues look mixed. SGX Nifty is trading 28.50 points higher.

FURTHER,   Biocon completes 10% stake sale in Syngene     

HUL settles case with Sebi on payment
of Rs2.60 lakh

Infosys implements IT solutions for US-based L.A. Care Health Plan.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyer of Rs 244.95 cr
in the cash segment on Monday  while the DIIs were net seller of Rs.-331.18 cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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WEEKLY EQUITY MARKET REPORT-05 JAN TO 10 JAN 2015

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS rose more than 1 percent on Friday, heading towards their sixth straight session of gains, helped by banking stocks ahead of an industry meet while a survey showing manufacturing activity expanded at its fastest pace in two years in December, also boosted sentiment.

Further, The HSBC Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) , compiled by Market, rose to 54.5 in December from 53.3 in the previous month, its highest since end-2012, as new orders flooded in and factories kept price increases to a minimum.

The INDIAN BENCHMARKS gained 380.36 points or 1.38% to settle at 27,887.90. The CNX Nifty gained 111.45 points or 1.35% to settle at 8,395.45.

GLOBAL MARKET CHASE

ASIAN STOCKS ended 2014 on a down note, as investors closed positions before extended New Year holidays and worries about Greek politics sapped risk appetites.

U.S. STOCKS were lower, as losses in the Consumer Services, Consumer Goods and Industrials sectors led shares lower.

EUROPEAN STOCKS were boosted after ECB President Mario Draghi said the risk of deflation in the euro zone cannot be excluded, signaling the possibility of large-scale
quantitative easing measures.

WEEK AHEAD

In the coming week, trend in global markets, investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), the movement of rupee against the dollar, and crude oil price movement will dictate near term trend on the bourses amid lack of major economic data announcements.

A major trigger for the markets in the near term is Q3 results of India Inc. Earnings season starts from second week of January 2015 and ends in second week of February 2015. IT major Infosys kicks off Q3 results season on Friday, 9 January 2015. Investors' focus will remain on further policy announcements, if any, by the government.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-09 JAN 2015

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS , Late spurts lift sentiments

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS edged higher on heading for a second co nsecutive session of gains, led by software services exporter, Infosys Ltd, which surged 6 percent after its December-quarter earnings beat estimates. The S&P  BSE Se nsex and CNX Nifty ended 0.67%-0.61% higher each.

·National Buildings Construction Corporation rose 2.62% after the company said it bagged a Rs1236.88 cr order in Odisha under the Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana.

·Videocon Industries rose 20%, after the company announced new discovery of oil accumulation in Farfan Area in the Serqipe Basin, Offshore Brazil.

·SpiceJet hit 10% upper circuit, on reports
potential investors have submitted a rescue plan for the company to the civil aviation ministry.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen
at 8365 and above this 8435. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 8185and next support will be 8115.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-09 Jan 2015

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·Infosys Q3 consolidated net profit up 13%; $ Revenue In-line
IT major Infosys announced the following Audited results for the quarter ended December 31, 2014 (YoY): Standalone Results: Net Profit of the Company rose by 11.70% to Rs3055.00 crore Vs Rs2735.00 crore (YoY). Total Income increased by 6.31% to Rs13015.00 crore Vs Rs12242.00 crore (YoY).Consolidated  Results: Net Profit rose by 13.04% to Rs3250.00 crore Vs Rs2875.00 crore (YoY).Total  Income increased by 6.38% to Rs14636.00 crore Vs Rs13757.00 crore (YoY).Infosys Q3:  Results in line with estimates; Strong Volume Growth of 4.2% (QoQ) and Retaining of growth guidance surprise positively.

·JSPL drops 3% on CBI allegations
Shares of Jindal Steel and Power shed 3% to Rs153 on NSE. CBI has found the company to have connived with the coal ministry officials to “illegally” mine nearly three times more coal than permitted. The agency, which has incorporated these details in the First Information Report ( FIR) filed in the Gare Palma block case in Chhattisgarh, has said the ministry officials in connivance with the company not only overlooked the excess mining but also regularised it.

·BHEL commissions 600MW thermal unit in Chhattisgarh
Bharat Heavy Electricals ( BHEL) has announced the successful commissioning of one more 600 MW thermal unit in Chhattisgarh. The unit was commissioned at Jindal Power's upcoming 4x600 MW thermal power project located at Tamnar in Raigarh district of Chhattisgarh. This is the third 600 MW unit of the project to be commissioned by BHEL. The first two units of 600 MW each were commissioned in March 2014. With this commissioning, BHEL has added 3,500 MW in the state of Chhattisgarh in 2014 alone.

·HUL marks historic high in volatile markets
Shares of fast moving consumer goods ( FMCG) company Hindustan Lever (HUL) traded higher by over 4% at Rs849, extending its past four day’s gain on BSE, after Deutsche Bank upgraded the stock to buy with a target price of Rs900 per share. The stock is currently trading at its historical high price and surging 11% in past one week from Rs756 on January 2, 2015 on BSE. It recorded a sharpest weekly gain since July 13, when the stock rallied 14% in single week.HUL is witnessing early signs of uptick in consumer demand across rural and urban India in the past 2/3 months,

·Moody's upgrade Tata Steel's ratings; stk up
Tata Steel rose over 2% touching to Rs404.9, after Moody's yesterday, (January 08, 2015), upgraded its rating on the company from Ba2 to Ba1 with a stable outlook.
The upgrade of Tata Steel's rating reflects the group-wide refinancing and the improved liquidity which will support further growth of its highly profitable Indian operations,

·NBCC surges on winning Rs1237 crore orders
Shares of National Buildings Construction Corporation ( NBCC) surge over 4% to hit day’s high of Rs847.50 on NSE as the company has got an order worth Rs1237 crore from Odisha to build rural roads – Positive

·Can Fin Homes marks fresh high ahead of board meet
Shares of housing finance company Can Fin Homes surged over 6% to Rs621 on the NSE ahead of the board meeting for rights issue on Monday, January 12, 2015.
The board of directors of the Can Fin Homes is schedule to meet on January 12, 2015, to consider the size of the rights issue, rights issue ratio, price, record date and other matters relating to the proposed issue of equity shares of the company on rights basis. The company proposed to raise up to Rs 300 crore through rights issue.

·Banks to get commission from govt for DBT
The finance ministry has agreed to banks’ long-standing demand for commission for Direct Benefits Transfer (DBT) transactions. The move will boost lenders’ fee income and make account opening, under the Pradhan Mantri Jan-Dhan Yojana (PMJDY) viable. This is mainly positive for PSU Banks as they have maximum presence in rural areas.

·Wockhardt management expects full clearance of Chikalthana facility
The management of Wockhardt is expecting full supplies  to UK market in next 2-3 months, as its Chikalthana units is likely to get clearance from European drug regulator. The UK drug regulator has eased restrictions on Wockhardt's drug unit at Chikalthana, near Aurangabad, but a full approval to the facility is yet to come. The British drug regulator withdrew its quality certification to the Chikalthana plant in 2013 after it identified deviations in the facility. Wockhardt is facing regulatory hurdles with both USFDA and UK MHRA.

·Spice Jet soars 10% on fund infusion plan
Shares of Spice Jet locked in upper circuit of 10% at Rs18.30 on BSE with no sellers on the counter on reports that the company has informed the civil aviation ministry that it will raise the first tranche of funds by January 10.Spice Jet's former director Ajay Singh along with two US-based private equity investors are in discussions to invest in the airline.

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Sensex volatile; ONGC surges 3%, Infosys holds gains

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The Nifty came off 90 points from the day's high while the market breadth is weak at 1:2 in favor of declines.

The Sensex rose 38.72 points to 27313.43 and the Nifty advanced 10.40 points to 8245. About 1219 shares have advanced, 1557 shares declined, and 408 shares are unchanged on the Bombay Stock Exchange.

Infosys rallied 4 percent after reporting a good set of numbers. Dollar revenues grew 0.8 percent in Q3 Q-o-Q, in line with estimates while margins beat estimates rising 65 basis points QoQ to 26.7 percent. Also company maintained FY15 dollar revenue growth guidance of 7-9 percent and reported volume growth of 4.2 percent Q-o-Q, the highest in last three years.

ONGC gained 3 percent and Oil India surged 4.6 percent. The government may exempt ONGC and Oil India from fuel subsidy for rest of FY15, reports media quoting unnamed sources.

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Nifty hits 8300, Sensex firm; Tata Steel, ONGC gain 1-2%

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The Sensex is up 195.90 points or 0.7 percent at 27470.61 and the Nifty is up 50.85 points or 0.6 percent at 8285.45. The 50-share index briefly touched 8300.About 534 shares have advanced, 72 shares declined, and 325 shares are unchanged.

Tata Steel, Tata Motors, ONGC,Tata Power and HDFC Bank
are top gainers in the Sensex.

The Indian rupee gained in the early trade. It has opened higher by 19 paise at 62.48 per dollar compared to previous day's closing value.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-09 JAN 2015

Nifty Futures Tips

INDIAN BENCHMARK are likely to open on a positive note as the global cues look supportive. SGX Nifty is trading 57.50 points higher.

FURTHER,  Moody's upgrades Tata Steel to Ba1, confirms Tata Steel UK at B2

Sobha's Q3 sales bookings fall 15% to Rs 427 crore

Mahindra to launch Mojo by early next financial year.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net seller of Rs -466.78 cr in the cash segment on Thursday  while the DIIs were net buyer of Rs.288.88 cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-08 JAN 2015

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS snap three-days of losses on value-buying

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS rose over 1% on Thursday, rebounding from a near three-week low hit in the previous session, led by gains in companies focused on the domestic economy such as ITC and ICICI Bank on value buying. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 1.36%-1.64% higher each.

·JLR December 2014 UK volumes up 25% YoY

·McNally Bharat receives order from VALE group

·Ashok Leyland marks fresh high

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